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Latest Publications

Challenges Facing Taiwan in the South China Sea

Ian Easton

The People's Republic of China (PRC) has been able to exploit the fundamentally flawed bilateral relationship between Washington and Taipei to convince many observers that Taiwan has no positive role to play in the South China Sea. This paper will examine the many challenges facing Taiwan in the South China Sea. It will first lay out some of the reasons why the South China Sea matters to Taiwan's interests. Next, it will assess the PRC threat to Taiwanese interests at the strategic, operational, and tactical levels of analysis. Finally, the paper will conclude with an outline of areas where the U.S. and Taiwan could cooperate to impose costs on PRC expansionism and better ensure regional peace and stability

Reaching the Limits: China as a Responsible Stakeholder

John Lee

Given the U.S.-China economic relationship and China's importance in Asia, America's temptation is to seek a comprehensive cooperative framework to perpetuate its leadership and "tame" a rising China in order to promote stability in the region. Increasing economic interdependence does create common interests, and structured dialogues can reduce misunderstanding. But as Asia's preeminent power and civilization for all but 200 of the past 3,000 years, China is too big, proud, and independently minded for America to "tame" or "manage." Washington cannot hope to decisively determine the endgame for an authoritarian China-in which the CCP, leading a country of 1.4 billion people, will choose to become a "responsible stakeholder" within a U.S.-led order.

New on AsiaEye

The official blog of the Project 2049 Institute

Insight #59:Inscribing the Tiananmen Massacre on UNESCO's Memory of the World

Insight #58:Taiwan's Anti-Invasion Strategy: Elevating Defense Capabilities from Crisis to Wartime

Insight #57:Shifting Russian-PRC Relations and its Implications for Mongolian Foreign Policy

Insight #56:China's Military Provocations Against Taiwan Are Not Mere Responses to Trump

Insight #55:Securing the Future With More U.S.-Taiwan Exchanges

Insight #54:Seek Truth from Facts: The CCP's War on History

For the latest AsiaEye articles visit our blog page

Strategic Standoff: The U.S.-China Rivalry and Taiwan

Ian Easton

The CCP views Taiwan as a grave threat to its grip on power. Consequently, the People's Liberation Army (PLA), which is the armed wing of the CCP, considers the invasion of Taiwan to be its most critical mission. Getting the strategic competition with China right will ultimately help America secure unprecedented levels of prosperity, freedom, and stability for all Pacific nations by the century's midpoint.

The United States and Future Policy Options in the Taiwan Strait

Mark Stokes and Sabrina Tsai

Taiwan is a core interest in U.S. foreign policy. Its values, technological prowess, and geostrategic position align with foundational American values and priorities for the region, making it a crucial U.S. partner in the Asia Pacific. As such, ensuring a stable and positive future for Taiwan as a democracy and a primary contributor to the global economy and international community is a high priority. This monograph concludes that a more objective representation of the status quo in the Taiwan Strait may better serve long-term U.S. interests.

Extending Domestic Governance Over the Seas: China’s State Oceanic Administration

Chisako T. Masuo

In 1982, General Liu Huaqing of China proposed the strategy of 'offshore defense' and drew a line through the Kurile Islands, Japan and the Ryukyu Islands, Taiwan, the Philippines, Borneo, and Natuna Besar. He set the year 2000 as the goal for establishing Chinese control inside this 'First Island Chain.' China has been trying to expand its area of actual control by extending domestic governance over the seas. Over the last decade, the State Oceanic Administration (SOA) under the State Council has assumed more responsibility in the oceanic administration and developed a clearer division of labor within PLAN.

WATCH CONFERENCE (Feb 27): 1984 with Chinese Characteristics: How China Rewrites History
WATCH CONFERENCE (Dec 13): Going Ballistic: The Taiwan Strait Crisis at 20
WATCH CONFERENCE (Oct 6, 15'): Influence Operations: Chinese Political Warfare in East Asia and Beyond
"China Has Its Own Problems With History" on the Diplomat by Randall Schriver, Project 2049 President/CEO.


17-001: Getting the U.S.-China Relationship Right


16-002: Taiwan, Submarines, and Competitive Strategies for U.S.-China Competition



Challenges for the PLAN in the Western Pacific

16-001: The Nature of China's Rise and Why It Matters to the U.S. and Japan: A Japanese Perspective


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