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Latest Publications

White Warships and Little Blue Men: The Looming "Short, Sharp War" in the East China Sea over the Senkakus

James E. Fanell and Kerry K. Gershaneck

China claims Japan’s Senkaku Islands and vows to seize them in a “short, sharp war,” if necessary. China’s successful seizure of the islands would shatter the Japan-America security alliance and severely undermine U.S. credibility. This study examines China’s attack campaign by tracing its territorial claims to the East China Sea and by addressing its Senkakus campaign doctrine, the military and paramilitary forces it will employ, how the campaign will unfold, the timing of the attack, how China might counter U.S. intervention, and steps the United States and Japan should take to deter it.

U.S.-Taiwan Relations in a Sea of Change

Richard L. Armitage, Ian Easton, and Mark Stokes

Concerned about a potential drift in the relationship, The Project 2049 Institute conducted a series of working-level dialogues, resulting in the production of a study addressing the medium to long-term challenges that appear likely in Taiwan and across the Taiwan Strait. The objective of this report is to make detailed policy recommendations for Washington as it endeavors to strengthen relations with Taiwan, while at the same time mitigating tensions that are emerging in relations across the Strait..

New on AsiaEye

The official blog of the Project 2049 Institute

Insight #75:How the PLA Really Sees America

Insight #74:Assessing the Resiliency of the Chinese Communist Party

Insight #73:Under the Radar: China's Coercive Air Power in the Taiwan Strait

Insight #72:Covert Coverage: Xinhua as an Agent of Influence in the United States

Insight #71:Fixing our Troubled Taiwan Strategy

Insight #70:The Untapped Potential of U.S.-Taiwan Trade Relations

For the latest AsiaEye articles visit our blog page


Now Available! "The Chinese Invasion Threat: Taiwan's Defense and American Strategy in Asia" by Ian Easton

Order your copy today!

"Unthinkable? Think again. Ian Easton has done a remarkable job taking the PRC at their word. Using PLA manuals and publications, this Project 2049 Institute study shows that China is prepared to invade, intimidate or interdict. This is a scholarly work which most China hands would like to overlook. No longer can they do so. Well done, Mr. Easton."
―Ambassador Richard Armitage, former Deputy Secretary of State


Risk and Resiliency: China’s Emerging Air Base Strike Threat

Oriana Skylar Mastro and Ian Easton

Given the centrality of air power for U.S. power projection in the Western Pacific, the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has focused on prioritizing the development of asymmetric capabilities to target American air superiority where it is weakest―on the ground. China’s military modernization program is closely associated with a number of maturing precision strike capabilities designed for attacking air bases. This paper seeks to provide an overview of the evolving airpower challenge that the United States faces in the Western Pacific and beyond. It explores Chinese military writings on air base strike operations, evaluates the current trajectory of the PLA’s precision strike capabilities, and concludes with recommendations for how American airpower in Asia can be more resilient against threats.

The Framework for a U.S.-Japan Free Trade Agreement

Derek M. Scissors and Daniel Blumenthal

The United States and Japan can create a bilateral free trade and investment agreement that both sides will sign and ratify. While the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) initially appeared to qualify as the new approach the U.S., Japan, and East Asia needed. It failed to sufficiently promote free markets and address concerns to generate enough support from traditional protectionist opponents in the United States. Nonetheless, the TPP did clarify the value of a directly related initiative: a U.S.-Japan bilateral agreement. This monograph serves to provide a framework for a U.S.-Japan Free Trade Agreement (FTA) and offers an outline for what such an agreement should look like in order to work both economically and in terms of domestic politics.

WATCH CONFERENCE (Nov 28, 17'): Securing the Strait: U.S.-Taiwan Security Relations
WATCH CONFERENCE (Mar 30): China's Fault Lines: Challenges, Instability, and Response
"China Has Its Own Problems With History" on the Diplomat by Randall Schriver, Former Project 2049 President/CEO.


18-001: Addressing China's Coercion in the Taiwan Strait


17-003: Taiwan's All-Volunteer Force and Military Transformation



17-002: Red Drones Over Disputed Seas: A Field Guide to Chinese UAVs/UCAVs Operating in the Disputed East and South China Seas


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